风险评估中的不确定性 通过概率和非概率方法表征和处理不确定性【正版】 【店主推荐,正版书放心购买,可开发票】
《风险评估中的不确定性》的目的是针对高风险技术,例如,核能、石油和天然气、运输等的实际决策情况,审慎地介绍风险评估中不确定性处理的知识状态,以及表征和刻画这些不确定性的方法。30多年来,基于概率的方法和理论框架已经被视为风险评估和不确定性分析的基础,但是越来越多的人开始担心,部分是由于新出现的风险,例如,与安全相关的风险,需要拓展和改进以前的方法从而有效地处理不同来源的不确定性以及与之相关的不同形式的信息。其他用于表征不确定性的替代方法已经提出,例如,基于区间概率、可能性和证据理论的方法。有人认为,当风险评估中研究的现象和情景知识不足的情况下,这些方法提供了更适当的不确定性的处理方式。然而,许多关于这些方法的基础以及使用的问题仍未得到解答。《风险评估中的不确定性》对风险评估中
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风险评估与管理中的认知 (挪)泰耶 阿文(Terje Aven),(意)恩里科 齐奥(Enrico Zio)主编 国防工
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